Double boot tonight, so I think maybe best to think about who is gonna leave per tribe.
I am thinking Vytas could conceivably carry his entire tribe here and win it single-handedly for Bracari (which let us not forget is so impressive with him doing these at 4am ) but if they lose, let's see. This tribe is next to impossible to predict because two out of four are fucking nuts. Cochran & Vytas specifically.
Cochran still seems to want to make a move on Vytas but I don't even know why any more?? Just to "make a move"? He would have John with him, but not Marissa. I can't see this playing out, especially with idol fears. Meanwhile Vytas was more than happy to target Marissa last night purely cos she wasn't around to help herself. Which again seems to me to be madness, since she is the one player over there who both outwardly and inwardly has his back right now.
I am thinking should they lose, they will meet halfway and boot John. Orr, we get a crazy TC again which could produce anything from idol plays to any of the other three leaving.
I do think they are actually the favourites to win tonight thanks to Vytas (Marissa is no slouch either) which would give us a hot hot 4/4/4 split for the merge (and potentially a 6/6 originals split too :o unlikely, but possible).
Meanwhile on Tapoli, these guys send so few PMs. I don't think anything has changed over here. Ibe & Caryn want to boot Laura with Sem's help (and possibly Rachel's). Rachel and Laura want to boot Caryn - again with Sem's help. They originally wanted to chop Sem, but Caryn & Ibe are just pandering when they say they'll do that. The trouble for Laura & Rachel is, that Sem is most likely to stick with Ibe. Purely because he has been putting the work in with her while the others have not. And she would be open for it too, if only they'd get the finger out.
Plus, I still say Sem leaving would be the best thing for everyone, but nope, no-one thinks that bar Rachel so no-one is looking at that.
So Imma say Laura leaves most likely. Followed by Caryn. Tiny chance of it being Sem. 60/30/10.
Limici then is kinda on a knife edge. Coby & Katie will stick together and target Shawn. Ralph & Shawn will stick together and target Katie. That leaves Becky as the swing and I think she will stick by Coby & Katie if she has the choice. Even if she doesn't and Katie finds out via Coby - she will drop that idol and send Shawn packing. Major props to Katie & Coby for keeping their relationship so under wraps all this time. I said this on Skype but Coby is my favourite player of all right now and Katie is not too far behind.